Departamento de Negociação de Ações — Ações recomendadas desta semana CRCL

Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL)

Asset Type: US Tech/Fintech Stock with High Volatility

Main Business: Issues the stablecoin USDC, provides payment, custody and blockchain infrastructure services related to stablecoins

Tags: Crypto infrastructure, Stablecoin ecosystem, Policy-driven FinTech

Dimension	Description
Main Revenue	Mainly from interest income (from USDC reserves) and transaction fees
Growth Driver	USDC supply growing fast, now about 27% of the stablecoin market; partnerships with Coinbase, Fiserv, etc. deepen the impact
Risk Factors	High valuation (PE > 200×), very sensitive to policy and competition, strongly affected by liquidity
Cash Structure	Raised a lot after IPO, plenty of cash on hand; fast business expansion but also high spending

Growth: Based on the fast growth of USDC and its interest income

Thematic: Driven by policies (e.g. GENIUS Act), partnerships (e.g. Fiserv, Coinbase), and the rise of stablecoins as a hot topic

Since its IPO on June 5, stock price has surged from $31 to nearly $299, a 750% increase;

GENIUS Act passed by US Senate, giving stablecoins regulatory clarity, helped the stock stabilize recently

✅ Positives

USDC’s growing market share, clearer policy signals, strong partnerships with big platforms;

CRCL is one of the first regulated stablecoin companies, with clear infrastructure positioning

Risks

Very high valuation may not last, if returns don’t meet expectations, a price drop could follow;

Faces global regulatory pressure, falling cash flow yield, and macro market risks;

Main risks are sentiment-driven and tied to policy uncertainty

Tactical Suggestions

Range	Estratégia
$110–140	Good for buying during pullbacks, suggest building positions in batches
$170–180	Resistance area, watch for pullbacks or take quick profits
Break above $240 with volume	If confirmed, target $300+, if not, risk of correction increases
Below $90	Suggest stop-loss or reduce position, wait for new support level first

✅ Summary

Since its IPO, CRCL has gone through the typical cycle: “hype → panic pullback → support from policy/partnerships → technical consolidation.”

In the short term, watch the $150 price range.

Cautious traders can consider buying gradually in the $110–120 range.

If new regulations or partnerships are confirmed, a new upward trend may begin.